It's a Cinderella story: a plucky little underdog football
team sports its best defensive and offensive lines Cheap
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and wins big, paying off $300 to $400 for every dollar bet on them. Of course,
the Cinderella story rarely comes true Authentic
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what they're doing. Imagine, though, if you had a way of looking over the
college football bets and Vegas football bets lines and picking out the few
games in each season where the heavily discounted underdog comes out hard and
slams the favorite. Imagine if you could look over the football picks for this
week and size up the long odds underdogs who are the most likely to pull it out
and pay off with a big win.
It's not impossible, especially early in the
season. That's because most of the Vegas football bets are running lines based
on last year's stats and performances. They're figuring the teams that had the
worst defense last year will have the worst defense this year Cliff
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keep right on winning. For the most part, their information will be accurate -
but there are always cases where the public perception - which is where a lot of
the line action comes from - hasn't quite caught up with the difference made by
a new coach, a new player or some serious practice hours over the
summer.聽
The secret of picking longshots that will be winning football bets
isn't so difficult. Simply look for teams that are better on the field than they
look on paper. Compare the underdog's actual record to date with the odds being
offered. Is it a team that's faced off a big winner from last year and won? Is
there a line on a game where the teams are relatively equal, but the odds make
the game look completely unbalanced? The right bet on that game could plump up
your bank nicely.聽
Here's the thing. Early in the season Authentic
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their decisions based on last year's stats. The books know they have to increase
the odds to balance the betting - but those long odds tend to scare off a lot of
bettors, which has the tendency to increase those odds even further. In the end,
even a small bet on a big underdog can offer a huge payoff.
Of course,
betting long odds won't pay off in every circumstance Authentic
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that you do your homework - check out the winning football picks for this week
and read the analysis carefully. You're looking for games where the teams are
actually pretty well matched, but the books have had to put a higher number on
the underdog to balance the betting.聽
You won't win every one of those
longshot football bets, but even a few of them over the course of the season can
add some serious padding to your wallet. . Womens
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